sunshine hours

April 30, 2014

The Streak – 1933/1934 and 2011/2012

Filed under: AGW is a Cult,Mockery,NOAA,USA,USA48 — sunshinehours1 @ 7:07 AM
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The Hockey Schtick blog brought a recent paper to my attention.

The abstract says:

A recent observation in NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center’s monthly assessment of the state of the climate was that contiguous US average monthly temperatures were in the top third of monthly ranked historical temperatures for thirteen straight months from June 2011 — June 2012. The chance of such a streak occurring randomly was quoted as (1/3)13, or about one in 1.6 million.”

I’m not going to discuss the “chances”. But I am going to simply note the following.

The NOAA ranks months temperature and precipitation based on the number of months from 1895. So 2012 was the 118th year. If a month is ranked 118 (as of 2012) then it was the warmest month from 1895 to 2012.

Using the same 12 month June to June time frame and using data from October 2012 ( before NOAA’s recent update) it took me about 10 minutes to find out a similar streak.

From June 1933 to to June 1934 8 months were ranked 100 and above. 2 of them were ranked 118.

From June 2011 to June 2012 8 months were ranked 100 and above. 1 of them was ranked 118.

 

year Month Rank
1933 6 118
1933 7 104
1933 9 116
1933 12 115
1934 1 114
1934 4 107
1934 5 118
1934 6 108

 

year Month Rank
2011 7 114
2011 8 117
2012 1 115
2012 2 104
2012 3 118
2012 4 116
2012 5 117
2012 6 107

What are the odds of that occurring 80 years apart!

 

 

May 9, 2013

UAH April 2013 – 5th Coldest April in USA49 history!

Filed under: UAH Satellite,USA48,USA49 — sunshinehours1 @ 12:37 PM
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UAH for April 2013 is out.

5th coldest April in USA49 history (which is USA 48 + Alaska)

year Mo USA49
1983 4 -2.68
1982 4 -1.61
1984 4 -1.6
1997 4 -1.5
2013 4 -0.93
1998 4 -0.62
1995 4 -0.61
1979 4 -0.6
1993 4 -0.58
1980 4 -0.56
1996 4 -0.53
1985 4 -0.22
1986 4 -0.16
2008 4 -0.15
2009 4 -0.11
2011 4 -0.1
1988 4 -0.01
1999 4 0.14
1991 4 0.21
2007 4 0.25
1992 4 0.31
2005 4 0.44
2004 4 0.47
2003 4 0.48
1994 4 0.5
2000 4 0.51
2001 4 0.53
1987 4 0.57
2010 4 0.66
1989 4 0.74
2002 4 0.82
1990 4 0.92
2006 4 1.33
2012 4 1.48
1981 4 1.51

April 2, 2013

UAH March 2013 – 3rd Coldest March in USA49 history!

Filed under: UAH Satellite,USA48,USA49 — sunshinehours1 @ 9:31 AM
Tags: , ,

UAH for March 2013 is out.

According to WUWT there are two new products added:

“The two new products are a USA49, which includes Alaska with the lower 48, and a listing for Australia, which includes Tasmania. Both of these new products will include temperature anomaly and trend data going back to the beginning of the UAH dataset in December 1978.”

3rd Coldest March in USA49 history! (Since 1979 anyway)

10 coldest March’s USA49 ranked coldest to 10th coldest

Year Mo USA49
1980 3 -1.37
1981 3 -0.93
2013 3 -0.87
1984 3 -0.82
2001 3 -0.8
1988 3 -0.75
1983 3 -0.73
2002 3 -0.73
2008 3 -0.71
1996 3 -0.63

USA48 has March 2013 as the 6th coldest

year Mo USA48
1981 3 -1.55
1980 3 -1.49
1984 3 -1.31
1996 3 -1.24
2002 3 -1.2
2013 3 -1.00
1983 3 -0.91
2001 3 -0.85
2005 3 -0.81
1988 3 -0.71

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