sunshine hours

March 10, 2015

Arctic Sea Ice Maximum For 2015

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 12:42 PM

Unless something weird happens, the Arctic may have set its maximum way back on day 53.

It would be the lowest maximum in the satellite era.

It is not the earliest day of maximum.

1987, 1994 and 1996 set their maximums on day 52.

Year Min Max day of Max day of Min Avg Anomaly
1979 6.895 16.635 60 264 0.69
1983 7.204 16.412 73 251 0.7
1982 7.16 16.325 58 256 0.81
1988 7.048 16.309 70 255 0.53
1980 7.533 16.302 65 249 0.7
1987 6.89 16.293 52 245 0.62
1990 6.011 16.249 71 264 0.06
1985 6.486 16.163 76 252 0.36
1986 7.122 16.158 69 249 0.57
1998 6.293 16.07 56 260 0.12
1993 6.161 16.048 72 256 0.29
1984 6.396 15.809 78 260 0.27
1981 6.902 15.801 73 253 0.5
1994 6.934 15.77 52 248 0.38
1989 6.888 15.766 65 265 0.33
2001 6.567 15.742 63 262 -0.04
1997 6.602 15.684 79 246 0.03
1991 6.259 15.647 56 259 0.11
2003 5.969 15.629 79 260 -0.24
1999 5.676 15.627 89 255 0.06
2002 5.625 15.624 68 261 -0.27
1992 7.159 15.576 72 251 0.47
2000 5.943 15.498 63 255 -0.13
1996 7.147 15.484 52 254 0.2
1995 5.99 15.384 90 250 -0.22
2008 4.548 15.354 58 262 -0.66
2010 4.59 15.351 90 262 -0.92
2012 3.34 15.307 78 260 -1.23
2004 5.77 15.3 70 262 -0.4
2013 5.04 15.196 73 256 -0.74
2009 5.047 15.195 61 255 -0.7
2014 4.988 15.007 79 259 -0.84
2005 5.314 14.993 68 263 -0.73
2007 4.147 14.842 69 257 -1.16
2006 5.746 14.777 70 257 -0.86
2011 4.333 14.704 66 251 -1.15
2015 TBA 14.595 53 TBA TBA

February 28, 2015

Antarctica Losing 130 gigatons of ice per year (last Year it was 159 gigatons per year)

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 3:51 PM

The Daily Mail claims that Antarctica is losing 130 gigatons of ice per year. (An earlier version of my post had a typo and said 159)

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2972611/Antarctica-s-melting-ice-changing-shape-Earth-Researchers-warn-area-ground-zero-climate-change.html

The trouble is twofold:

One … last year it was 159 gigatons per year: http://www.futurity.org/159b-tons-antarctic-ice-sheet-lost-year/

Two …

NSIDC: “The Antarctic Ice Sheet contains 30 million cubic kilometers (7.2 million cubic miles) of ice.”

A gigaton of ice is approximately one cubic kilometer of ice.

So … at 130 gigatons per year, how long before Antarctica melts? That would be 30,000,000 / 130.

 

 

230,000 years.

 

I’m guessing our interglacial will end long before that. And the ice will have stopped melting and started growing.

What the Klimate Kult doesn’t tell you is that the minute Antarctica stops melting is the moment most of humanity will start to die because that when the interglacial ends.

And it will end.

January 13, 2015

Is This An Honest Summary NSIDC?

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 8:52 AM

On the front page of the NSIDC Sea Ice News is this:

Is This Honest

 

Is that an honest summary of what is happening in Antarctica?

There is no sign of a rapid decline in Antarctic Sea Ice Extent. Records are still being smashed.

 

Serial spammer David A keeps asking why I am not mentioning that the Arctic set one daily record low by a small amount?

Its a simple two-part answer.

1) I do post the Arctic data.

2) But I emphasize the Antarctic and Global Records because the organizations with billions in funding DO NOT!

I do this for free.

 

 

January 3, 2015

Antarctica Sea Ice Extent and Albedo

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 2:22 PM

In Antarctica Sea Ice Extent has been setting record after record. It is mid summer and as of today there is 9.2 million sq km of sea ice.

That is 3.4 million sq km more than in 1980.

The albedo implications (which are only discussed by “scientists” in relation to the arctic) are important.

The following info is from a post I did in 2012 and is worth reposting (just remember it was from September 2012):

What is the impact of more Antarctic Sea Ice? Many warmists claim that less Arctic Sea Ice will have a more dramatic effect on earth’s albedo than increasing Antarctic Sea Ice.

Poster RACookPE1978 at WUWT disagrees and I hope he does not mind me reblogging  his comment here.

“The Antarctic Sea Ice at its 16.5 million km^2 maximum near the equinox in mid-September is a near crown-shape: A circular ring whose edge is between 62 south and 60 south latitude. During its mid-winter GROWTH range – that period BEFORE its maximum extent when its will reflect the most solar energy – it will have about 50% of its area between 66.5 south (the Antarctic Circle) and 60 south latitude.

Now, at that latitude, EVEN AT MID NH SUMMER (darkest time of the year for the Antarctic continent in mid-winter) the Antarctic sea ice WILL be reflecting light energy … for the simple reason that the Antarctic sea ice is exposed to southern hemisphere sunlight every day – even at the shortest day if the winter at June 22.

BUT … Antarctic Sea Ice is NOT at its maximum at mid-winter (the darkest days), but rather, Antarctic Sea Ice is at its maximum at the equinox when there IS sunlight for 12 hours per every latitude on the planet. Further, Antarctic Sea Ice at its maximum IS exposed to strongly absorbed sunlight at solar incidence angle between 15 and 30 degrees for 10 of those 12 hours. Worse, from a cooling world standpoint, a DECREASE in Arctic Sea ice from its present “circular cap” up between 81 north latitude and the pole DOES NOT result in increased solar absorption into the exposed sea surface, but rather an increased LOSS of heat energy from the exposed water due to evaporation and radiation.

The difference? The angle of the incidence sunlight. In the Antarctic, the light is inbound on the newly freezing sea ice at 30 degrees angle: At 30-25 degrees incidence angle, open water absorbs 90-95% of the inbound energy, sea ice reflects about 98 percent of the incident energy.

in the Arctic, at 4-8 degrees incidence angle, open (rough) water reflects 95% of the solar energy. Ice reflects about 98% of the incoming solar energy. Open water loses another 117 watts/m^2 compared to ice-covered water.

Thus, “simple” physics and geography shows that an increase in Antarctic Sea by 1.5 million km^2 ABOVE its previous “average” of 15.0 million km^2 SIGNIFICANTLY increases heat loss from the planet. An (potential) loss even of the entire remaining sea ice of 3.4 million km^2 increases heat loss from the planet.

And NO IPCC report nor ANY climate model predicts ANY increase in Antarctic sea ice at the same time as a Arctic Sea Ice decline. They only predict sea ice declines due to “a warming world” and “prove” a warming world by that same sea ice decline.”

 

Appell: Are you going to acknowledge that the decline in northern hemisphere snow cover is also real

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 12:06 PM

Appell: Are you going to acknowledge that the decline in northern hemisphere snow cover is also real

No. It goes up and down. It is up now.

Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Anomalies Feb Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Anomalies Jan Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Anomalies Nov Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Anomalies Dec

Sea Ice Extent Jan 03 2015 – Global is 1,747,000 sq km above Normal

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 10:47 AM

Why is global sea ice so high even when Arctic is not? Simple. Antarctic Sea Ice is AMAZINGLY high.

Global Sea Ice Extent Jan 03 2015 – 1,747,000 sq km above Normal

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Jan 03 2015 – 2,409,000 sq km above Normal

Arctic Sea Ice Extent Jan 03 2015 – -663,000 sq km below Normal

Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_2_1981-2010

Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_2015_Day_2_1981-2010

Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_2_1981-2010

Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_2015_Day_2_1981-2010

Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_2_1981-2010

Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_2015_Day_2_1981-2010

Antarctica Sea Ice Extent Daily Records

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 8:11 AM

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in 2014 was amazing.

210 daily records. 349 out of 365 days were in the top 5.

And now there are no longer any daily records from before 2007.

 

Year First Second Third Fourth Fifth Top 5
2014 210 63 29 41 6 349
2008 57 73 26 30 20 206
2013 49 134 87 47 12 329
2010 31 67 35 23 14 170
2007 17 4 0 2 3 26
2015 2 0 0 0 0 2
1979 0 2 10 14 8 34
1980 0 0 3 6 5 14
1981 0 0 1 1 4 6
1982 0 0 2 10 9 21
1984 0 0 0 3 3 6
1985 0 0 3 2 7 12
1986 0 0 0 1 3 4
1988 0 1 0 0 13 14
1994 0 0 0 12 15 27
1995 0 0 3 7 29 39
1996 0 0 19 7 17 43
1998 0 0 8 13 11 32
1999 0 0 0 0 2 2
2000 0 4 2 17 21 44
2001 0 0 14 11 13 38
2003 0 1 24 27 47 99
2004 0 0 7 3 19 29
2005 0 3 6 17 9 35
2006 0 1 30 28 21 80
2009 0 6 33 33 33 105
2011 0 0 0 0 3 3
2012 0 7 24 11 19 61

January 2, 2015

Arctic Sea Ice Extent Min/Max Stats For 1979 – 2014

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 12:18 PM

The average anomaly for the year was -0.82  million sq km below the 1981-2010 mean.

Lowest Minimum 3.36973 2012
Highest Minimum 7.52476 1980
Lowest day of Minimum 245 1987
Highest day of Minimum 265 1989
Lowest Maximum 14.67084 2011
Highest Maximum 16.56457 1979
Lowest day of Maximum 52 1987
Highest day of Maximum 90 2010

Year Min Max day of Max day of Min Average Anomaly (million sq km)
1979 6.89236 16.56457 60 264 0.69
1980 7.52476 16.25042 65 249 0.69
1981 6.88784 15.71365 73 253 0.49
1982 7.15423 16.27475 58 256 0.81
1983 7.19145 16.33207 73 251 0.69
1984 6.39916 15.76157 78 260 0.27
1985 6.4799 16.11716 76 250 0.35
1986 7.12351 16.11934 69 249 0.56
1987 6.89159 16.21724 52 245 0.62
1988 7.04905 16.24163 70 255 0.54
1989 6.88931 15.72295 65 265 0.33
1990 6.0191 16.21077 71 264 0.06
1991 6.26027 15.58803 56 259 0.12
1992 7.16324 15.53258 72 251 0.47
1993 6.15699 16.00491 72 249 0.29
1994 6.92645 15.72226 61 248 0.37
1995 5.98945 15.32238 59 252 -0.22
1996 7.15283 15.42074 52 254 0.2
1997 6.61353 15.63647 79 246 0.03
1998 6.29922 16.02091 56 260 0.12
1999 5.68009 15.55755 89 255 0.06
2000 5.9442 15.44482 63 255 -0.13
2001 6.56774 15.66664 63 262 -0.04
2002 5.62456 15.57345 68 256 -0.27
2003 5.97198 15.58678 80 260 -0.24
2004 5.77608 15.25548 70 263 -0.39
2005 5.31832 14.94615 71 265 -0.73
2006 5.74877 14.73298 70 257 -0.86
2007 4.1607 14.78963 69 257 -1.15
2008 4.55469 15.30522 58 262 -0.66
2009 5.05488 15.16275 61 255 -0.7
2010 4.59918 15.28449 90 262 -0.92
2011 4.33028 14.67084 66 251 -1.15
2012 3.36973 15.25102 64 260 -1.24
2013 5.07709 15.14275 73 256 -0.74
2014 4.98339 14.96031 79 259 -0.82

Global Sea Ice Extent Min/Max Stats For 1979 – 2014

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 9:11 AM

Global Sea Ice Extent averaged 0.34 million sq km above the 1981-2010 average.

Highest Average since 1998.

In terms of Max, 2014 was the 18th highest out of 36.

In terms of Min, 2014 was the 13th highest out of 36.

Year Min Max day of Max day of Min Avg Anomaly (million sq km)
1979 19.09222 27.48859 176 38 0.79
1980 18.5996 28.11968 289 57 0.37
1981 18.18091 27.48105 291 45 0.35
1982 18.76482 27.83626 306 42 0.85
1983 18.84029 27.89772 307 47 0.5
1984 17.71544 27.18759 316 40 0.13
1985 17.92867 27.61347 306 50 0.37
1986 18.80319 27.00445 317 45 0.08
1987 18.98408 27.15319 317 46 0.46
1988 18.15105 27.88244 319 45 0.46
1989 18.00758 27.50341 299 48 0.17
1990 18.3706 27.36396 294 45 -0.12
1991 17.96976 27.05178 309 63 0.07
1992 17.95822 27.58992 322 60 0.29
1993 17.84281 27.99757 310 57 0.12
1994 18.57179 27.97479 309 43 0.56
1995 18.49688 27.11473 306 45 -0.01
1996 17.79264 27.46173 293 57 0.39
1997 17.65372 27.04273 310 57 -0.17
1998 18.47935 27.58827 297 47 0.27
1999 17.94246 27.58386 306 62 0.23
2000 17.5882 26.93691 302 49 0.04
2001 18.52515 26.75864 319 38 0.05
2002 18.08847 26.81604 297 55 -0.64
2003 18.72494 27.09882 306 43 0.14
2004 18.31746 27.09686 316 51 -0.01
2005 17.07721 27.37923 308 38 -0.62
2006 16.7209 27.09882 298 30 -0.99
2007 17.21196 26.24784 308 47 -1.05
2008 18.43071 27.30686 310 46 0
2009 17.43751 26.17157 303 53 -0.24
2010 17.39862 26.71555 313 42 -0.4
2011 16.74368 26.17913 307 42 -1.24
2012 17.82476 25.90133 313 51 -0.81
2013 18.23868 27.49155 306 37 0.2
2014 17.87416 27.35877 307 43 0.34

January 1, 2015

Antarctica Sea Ice Extent Min/Max Stats For 1979 – 2014

Filed under: Uncategorized — sunshinehours1 @ 10:27 AM

In Antarctica Sea Ice Extent set an all time record of 20.14215 million sq km.

The average anomaly for the year was 1.09 million sq km above the 1981-2010 mean – the highest ever.

Year Min Max day of Max day of Min Avg Anomaly
1979 2.91521 18.36699 256 48 0.04
1980 2.52686 19.09137 267 57 -0.39
1981 2.69524 18.85906 261 51 -0.21
1982 2.8927 18.55004 246 52 -0.02
1983 2.84656 18.81042 263 55 -0.25
1984 2.38292 18.37747 266 58 -0.2
1985 2.60211 18.93215 254 50 -0.04
1986 2.95395 18.02672 261 65 -0.55
1987 3.01642 18.52332 258 52 -0.24
1988 2.63862 18.78456 277 55 -0.14
1989 2.7229 18.27368 266 51 -0.23
1990 2.78435 18.3788 273 53 -0.24
1991 2.55355 18.66993 273 58 -0.11
1992 2.49238 18.4663 255 54 -0.24
1993 2.28078 18.709 263 50 -0.23
1994 3.08286 18.8266 243 43 0.12
1995 3.32988 18.7353 269 55 0.15
1996 2.59733 18.83039 267 56 0.13
1997 2.26415 18.79094 265 58 -0.26
1998 2.7715 19.2433 258 56 0.08
1999 2.70723 18.98068 273 51 0.11
2000 2.58248 19.15817 272 49 0.11
2001 3.44094 18.49324 271 50 0.02
2002 2.69691 18.11556 252 51 -0.43
2003 3.6257 18.67907 268 48 0.32
2004 3.25927 19.12341 252 51 0.32
2005 2.80387 19.29451 272 49 0.04
2006 2.4866 19.35934 264 51 -0.19
2007 2.7227 19.08545 272 50 0.03
2008 3.69176 18.29726 247 51 0.6
2009 2.67096 19.29864 267 53 0.39
2010 2.8422 18.9968 249 47 0.45
2011 2.31884 18.95328 266 53 -0.15
2012 3.11109 19.47713 266 54 0.36
2013 3.67897 19.60692 274 50 0.87
2014 3.51506 20.14215 263 51 1.09
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